TA: Bitcoin Attempts Fresh Increase, Why Upsides Remain Capped

Bitcoin attempted a fresh increase above $39,500 against the US Dollar. BTC is still facing a strong resistance near $39,800 and $40,000.

• Bitcoin spiked above $39,500, but it failed to clear the $40,000 resistance zone.
• The price is trading near $39,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
• There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance near $38,750 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
• The pair must clear the $39,800 and $40,000 resistance levels to start a fresh increase.

Bitcoin Price Faces Hurdle

Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above the $38,200 resistance level. BTC even spiked above the $38,500 resistance level, but it faced a strong resistance.

During the recovery, there was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance near $38,750 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The pair climbed above the $39,800 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average. However, it faced a strong resistance just below the $40,000 level.

A high was formed near $39,899 and the price corrected gains. There was a move below the $39,500 level. Bitcoin declined below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $37,593 swing low to $39,899 high.

It is now trading near $39,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. An immediate resistance on the upside is near the $39,550 zone. The next major resistance could be near the recent high or $39,900. The main breakout resistance is still near the $40,000 zone.

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

A close above the $40,000 resistance zone could open the doors for a steady increase. In the stated case, the price could rise towards the $42,000 resistance zone.

Fresh Decline in BTC?

If bitcoin fails to clear the $39,550 resistance zone, it could continue to move down. An immediate support on the downside is near the $39,000 zone.

The next major support is seen near the $38,750 level. It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $37,593 swing low to $39,899 high. The main support sits near the $38,500 level, below which there is a risk of a sharp decline.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $38,750, followed by $38,500.

Major Resistance Levels – $39,550, $39,900 and $40,000.