TA: Bitcoin Turns Green, Why Close Above $40K Is Crucial

Bitcoin price is trading in a positive zone above the $39,000 level against the US Dollar. BTC must settle above $40,000 for a sustained upward move in the near term.

• Bitcoin is trading positively above the $38,500 and $38,800 support levels.
• The price is still trading well above $39,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
• There is a major bullish trend line forming with support near $39,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
• The pair is likely to accelerate higher if it settles above $40,200 and $40,500.

Bitcoin Price Could Gain Momentum

Bitcoin price remained well bid above the $38,200 support zone. BTC started a steady increase and it even broke the $39,000 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

However, the bulls are struggling to gain strength above the $40,000 zone. The last high was formed near $40,920 before there was a minor downside correction. The price corrected below the $40,000 support level.

There was a break below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the $36,340 swing low to $40,920 high. The price even traded below $39,500, but the bulls were active above the $39,000 support. There is also a major bullish trend line forming with support near $39,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

The price is also trading nicely above the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the $36,340 swing low to $40,920 high. On the upside, an initial resistance is near the $40,200 level. The first key resistance is near the $40,500 level.

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

If there is an upside break above the $40,500 resistance zone, there are chances of more upsides. The next major resistance is near the $41,000 and $41,200 levels. A close above $41,200 could trigger a steady increase towards the $43,500 level.

Dip Supported in BTC?

If bitcoin fails to climb above the $40,200 and $40,500 resistance levels, it could start a downside correction. An initial support on the downside is near the $39,200 level.

The first major support is now near the $39,000 zone and the 100 hourly SMA. A clear downside break below the trend line and $39,000 might call for a move towards the $38,000 level. The next major support is near the $37,800 zone.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is slowly gaining pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $39,200, followed by $39,000.

Major Resistance Levels – $40,200, $40,500 and $42,000.